There seem to be many tools around - some paid for, some free that help you decide which niche to choose for your sponsored advertising website.
The choice is enormous - and all make claims about making the process easy. But is the process so difficult in the first place?
There are two key criteria to consider when identifying profitable niches:
1. Can I get traffic?
2. Can I convert that traffic into clicks?
Nothing else matters really. But the big unanswered question is how do you do this?
Finding your niche
There are loads of blogs around that offer advice on how choose a niche and do keyword research.
The key messages seem to be as follows:
1. Start with your personal interests
2. Use online stores such as amazon.com and/or other sites like wikipedia etc to go through their categories to get niche ideas.
3. Drill down further to find potential untapped niches
But what I really want to have are some metrics to guide me - at least to begin with.
Here are the keyword lessons that I have discovered so far:
1. The best niches are ones with commercial intent (people doing searches because they intend to buy)
It makes sense sense to opt for a Adesnse niche where there’s ‘commercial intent’ - put simply, visitors intend to buy what they are searching for. There’s no point in creating a niche where there is little or no commercial intent - ‘how long does it take to boil and egg’ for example. It is unlikely that someone who is searching for ‘how long does it take to boil and egg” actually wants to buy anything which means you will not get many clicks on your sponsored advertising. Eggs perhaps? Or saucepans? Or maybe cookery books?
Well you can check commercial intent by using a tool like Google Adwords Keyword Tool to find out how many people advertise for this key word. You need to look at the little bars under the ‘Advertiser Competition’ column. If the bars have very little green, this means that there are not many advertisers for this keyword - so there is probably little commercial intent. If there’s lots of green, that means that there a plenty of advertisers - so there must be a demand for your chosen keyword or phrase.
Another check is to do a search on Google. If no advertisements come up - it’s a good indication that your chosen niche is rubbish from a potential earnings point of view.
And even if there are advertisers, they are likely to pay a low amount of money for each click - less than $1 (which means that you get a few cents per click). Common sense should tell you that niches like eggs, saucepans or cookery books are not going to be high payers. There’s more about this aspect of keyword research in a moment.
RULE ONE - CHECK YOUR KEYWORD OR PHRASE FOR COMMERCIAL INTENT / INTENT TO BUY
2. Choose keywords or phrases that have a decent cost per click (CPC)
Following on from the last point, you need to choose a niche were the adverts pay a decent cost per click (CPC). There are many websites that give you information on top paying keywords. In truth, no one knows exactly what keywords will pay. All the tools are estimates. Spyfu is one tool you could try. Some people say it’s good, others say it is rubbish. This uncertainly is why keyword research can never be considered an exact science.
Here are a few examples of reported high paying keywords (not from SpyFu - just from a Google search to give you an idea of the variations that can be found - according to SpyFu, the figures are a lot less):
Mesothelioma $100
Asbestos lawyer $100
Cord blood $41
Vioxx attourney $38
Very tempting eh? But here’s my first word of caution: don’t bother going for the highest paying keywords because these are usually targeted by many aspiring internet marketers who want to make money online, and many professional internet marketers too. They are overcrowded, and you will need to spend an enormous amount of time creating an enormous site and probably still wont get anywhere near the top - in other words, they are difficult to attract traffic due to excessive competition.
So the big question is, what CPC should you go for?
Generally, if your niche has an Adwords CPC average of $2-3, it should be profitable if you have decent traffic - say 4,400 per month or 146 per day, providing you get to the number one or two spot on the SERPs. $2-3 is not high enough to attract the masses where you would run into enormous competition problems, but is not too low for you you to require an absolutely massive traffic volume to become profitable.
Here is a list showing you the type of words that come under this category:
Accounting software
Acne
Art school
Asic design
Canada fishing
Cash drawer
Casino
Charity
The problem with this list is that each item will have a huge number of searches, and lots of competing websites. So will be very difficult for you to get to the top of the Google rankings for any of these terms. You will need to investigate further - more about that in a moment.
RULE TWO - LOOK FOR KEYWORDS THAT PAY $2-3 PER CLICK
3. Searches, traffic and competition
Searches (are people searching for your keyword?)
A keyword that receives no searches is worthless. A keyword which receives just 10 to 100 searches each month may be very profitable (if the CPC is high enough). Your first task is to find out how many searches are made each month for your keyword or keyword phrase.
Use the Adwords keyword tool to determine the number of searches per month. Also remember, the top keywords with hundreds of thousands of searches a month will have the stiffest competition - there’s more about that later.
Traffic (are people visiting your website?)
Traffic is how many people actually visit your website or blog. Once you know how many searches are made for your keyword you can find out how much traffic you will get if your site appears on the very the first page of the SERPs (Search Engine Results Pages - Google, Yahoo or MSN). The nearer you are to the top, number one placement will determine the % of these monthly searches you will receive. You need to aim for the number one spot, or maybe number two. Generally, you will find that most of your traffic will come from Google, even if you get the number one spots in all three major engines, Yahoo and MSN tend to result in less traffic.
The best way to get to the number one or two spot in the SERPs is to choose a niche with low page competition - more about this next.
Page Competition (how tough is it to get to the number one spot?)
So let’s assume that you have found a keyword phrase “diet” and it is shown to have an estimated monthly search volume of 450,000.
That is a huge amount of traffic that you could have visit your site each month and all the visitors will be looking for diets - lots of commercial intent. So this must be a good word right? Wrong! To create a site based around ‘diet’ would not be a good idea. The problem with just using these keyword, “diet” is that there are a many websites and blogs that use these this keyword, hence, you will face a large amount of competition each time a person searches “diet” in one of the search engines.
You can check the competing website count by typing an exact match search into Google - “diet” (including the quotes) into Google.com yields 177,000,000 results, aka, one hundred and seventy seven million competitors for that keyword phrase!
So, how do you decide what is a good keyword phrase relevant to your topic, which will not have too much competition for it? One way to accomplish this is to drill down for related keywords and then do a search on Google for each one. The number of pages that Google returns from the search is the number of competitors you will face for that keyword phrase.
A worked example
For example, if you do a search for “dog diet”, there are only 224,000 competing web pages (which is still a lot though).
(At this point, I think the Market Samurai tool would come in useful as it analyses which of the top websites have been optimised for the key word. If they have not been optimised, then you might be in with a chance if you create a largish, fully optimised site. I am currently experimenting with Market Samurai.)
Let’s go with “dog diet” for the moment. Remember Rule One - Does the key word have commercial intent? Check this by using the Adwords Keyword Tool. Look at the Advertiser Competition column. You’ll find that the bar is nearly all green, so there are lots of advertisers out there. Good news!
But what about searches - how many people actually do a search for “dog diet” every month? Again, the Adwords Keyword Tool will give you the answer - 4,400 per month or 146 per day. Not bad. If you can get on the first page of the Google rankings for “dog diet”, you should get a good share of the 146 daily visitors and a few clicks on your ads hopefully, as you know that some of the visitors will be looking for dog diet products.
But how much will each click pay? To find out, you need to use the SpyFu tool. SpyFu says that advertisers will pay $0.49 - $1.36 every time someone clicks on one of their “dog diet” ads. Of course, you as a publisher will only get a proportion of this - so your income per click for this keyword could only be a few cents. Another tool you can use is the Google Adwords Traffic Estimator which will also show you the CPC figures. It also has a green bar indicator for search volume. To work out the profit potential of your niche, you should go for something that has a pretty good search volume (as indicated by the amount of green in the bar - unfortunately Google does not disclose actual numbers of searches made by users on particular terms) and a CPC of between $2-$3.
So, let’s do the metrics (not very scientific I’m afraid):
146 potential visitors per day (assuming you are on page one of Google)
Out of that, you may get say 50 visitors
Out of the 50 visitors you may get say 5 clicks on your ads
Assuming you get 20 cents per click, your income per day is going to be about $1.
Your monthly income will be $30 (or about £18)
Your yearly income will be $365 (or about £200)
Hummm…. you are going to need a lot of websites like this to make a living out of Adsense! You would need 50 websites like this to earn £900 per month. If each website takes you say 2 days to create - that’s 100 working days for you. (Read on if you think this doesn’t sound too bad.)
Of course the trick is to find a niche which gets a decent amount of traffic, has good commercial intent, has low webpage competition, and a cost per click of at least $2-3.
In the example above, let’s assume that you are getting $1 per click (the stated estimate will be higher - $2-$4 - remember that you only get about half of what the advertisers pay Google, assuming that Google thinks your site is good).
146 potential visitors per day (assuming you are on page one of Google)
Out of that, you may get say 50 visitors
Out of the 50 visitors you may get say 5 clicks on your ads
Assuming you get $1 per click, your income per day is going to be about $5.
Your monthly income will be $150 (or about £90)
Your yearly income will be $1825 (or about £1,100)
Hummm…. You would now need only about 10 sites to £900 per month. If each website takes you say 2 days to create - that’s 20 working days for you.
RULE 3 - FIND A KEYWORD OR PHRASE THAT HAS A DECENT AMOUNT OF MONTHLY TRAFFIC, LOW WEBPAGE COMEPETION AND A COST PER CLICK OF $2-3.
Conclusion
Let’s look at the three rules again:
RULE ONE - CHECK YOUR KEYWORD OR PHRASE FOR COMMERCIAL INTENT/INTENT TO BUY
Make sure that people come to your website with the intent to buy.
Free tools for checking commercial intent:
Google Adwords Keyword Tool - look for the amount of green in the bars in the ‘Advertiser Competition’ column.
Google search - see what ads come up
RULE TWO - LOOK FOR KEYWORDS THAT PAY AT $2-3 PER CLICK
Free tools for checking cost per click:
SpyFu - gives you an estimate of much advertisers will pay Google each time an ad is clicked
Google Adwords Traffic Estimator which will also show you the CPC figures. It also has a green bar indicator for search volume. To work out the profit potential of your niche, you should go for something that has a pretty good search volume (as indicated by the amount of green in the bar - about 2000 - 3000 searches per month is average) and a CPC of between $2-$3.
RULE 3 - FIND A KEYWORD OR PHRASE THAT HAS A DECENT NUMBER OF SEARCHES, LOW WEBPAGE COMPETITION AND A COST PER CLICK OF $2-3
Free tools for checking searches:
Google Adwords Keyword Tool - look approximate monthly search volume columns. If the search volume niche is low, say 1000 per month, the niche will only be profitable if the CPC is high. If the search volume is reasonable, say more than 10,000 searches a month you can go for a lower CPC.
Free tools for checking competition pages:
Google search - check the competing website count by typing an exact match search into Google and checking the page competition figure:
< 100,000 - worth looking at
< 50,000 - definitely worth looking at
< 20,000 - great prospect
< 10,000 - a real find (providing the pay per click is at least $2-3)
In short, the characteristics of a profitable niche for adsense are:
- Commercial interest
- Keywords that pay more than $2 per click
- A high monthly search volume - 2000 clicks per month is good if you are looking in the $2-$3 range (although anything more than 300 clicks per month for the perfect keyword combination in the domain is pretty interesting if bid prices are high.)
- Low page competition - at the very least below 100,000 competition pages and preferably much lower
Tags: adsense, competition, cpc, intent to buy, keywords, niche, porfitable, searches, traffic